In "The Things They Carried," a short story about a platoon of soldiers during the Vietnam War, author Tim O'Brien describes in detail what the soldiers carry as they plod through the war. Aside from the weight of their equipment (mosquito repellent, weapons, first aid kits, etc.), the men carry with them the love for lovers left behind, daydreams of a world a thousands miles away, and hearts full of regret and doubt.
During this nomination battle, much has been said about Hillary Clinton's "baggage," about the things she carried over to the primary campaign from the political bloodfests of the 1990s. Reference was routinely made to her failed attempts at healthcare reform and the scandals of her husband's administration, and certainly these things weighed heavily on some voters' minds.
But as we lay the cold corpse of Clinton's candidacy on the examination table, as pundit and citizen alike dissects her maneuverings over the last 16 months and offer up a post-mortem, a reflection on the things Clinton carried into this campaign sheds light into why she lost a race she was supposed to win.
During the 1990s, the Clintons were victims of one of the most vicious and hellish campaigns of personal destruction in modern history. The scandal-thirsty media salivated at pursuing every salacious detail, while GOP operatives poured untold amounts of money and effort into generating a personal failing into a political firestorm. In 1998, Hillary appeared on the Today Show told Matt Lauer that the campaign to destroy her husband was part of a "vast right wing conspiracy." She was mocked mercilessly at the time for using the phrase. Time has proven her right.
Ten years later, Hillary once again found herself fighting a battle -- this time, for the Democratic nomination. Her opponent, Barack Obama, was described in the media as a "rockstar" and a "phenomenon." The airwaves buzzed about an Obama "movement." The same media that mocked and destroyed the Clintons in the 1990s was now eager to do again....right?
Time and time again on the trail, both Bill and Hillary Clinton lashed out at the press for being "biased" against Hillary. Hillary sourly and sarcastically asked at one debate whether the moderator would offer Obama a pillow. Bill frequently and angrily took on the press at town hall meetings. For the Clintons, Obama's success was part of a vast media conspiracy.
Nothing could be further from the truth. As a recent study by the Project for Excellence in Journalism found, the perception that the press was "soft" on Obama is utterly false:
From January 1, just before the Iowa caucuses, through March 9, following the Texas and Ohio contests, the height of the primary season, the dominant personal narratives in the media about Obama and Clinton were almost identical in tone, and were both twice as positive as negative, according to the study, which examined the coverage of the candidates’ character, history, leadership and appeal—apart from the electoral results and the tactics of their campaigns.
The trajectory of the coverage, however, began to turn against Obama, and did so well before questions surfaced about his pastor Jeremiah Wright. Shortly after Clinton criticized the media for being soft on Obama during a debate, the narrative about him began to turn more skeptical—and indeed became more negative than the coverage of Clinton herself. What’s more, an additional analysis of more general campaign topics suggests the Obama narrative became even more negative later in March, April and May.
For the Clintons though, who carried with them the battle scars of the 1990s, the media's coverage of the primaries was met with scorn and distrust. As such, they failed to appreciate that Obama actually did have a movement behind him.
That Hillary herself did not take the Obama phenomenon seriously is evident by the way she ran the last few months of her campaign. So many of her actions were geared not at influencing Obama voters or undecideds to vote for her, but at influencing the media to wake-up from what her campaign believed was a hope-induced stupor. Bill Clinton angrily referred to "fairytales" while Hillary argued that Obama needed more "vetting" (read: the same media scrutiny she survived in the 1990s). And all the while, while the Clintons were so focused on getting members of the press to change their reporting, they failed to recognize the change that was actually taking place.
But change was taking place. From coast to coast, red states to blue, ordinary Americans were called upon to do an extraordinary thing -- hope again. Obama's near-perfect campaign execution coupled with the very real desire to seek out fundamental change did indeed create a movement. This was not, as Hillary made it out to be, some sort of naive infatuation:
Framing Obama as both a deceiver and a dream weaver, Clinton said "none of the problems we face will be easily solved."
Then oozing derision, Clinton cracked, "Now, I could stand up here and say, 'Let's just get everybody together. Let's get unified. The sky will open. The light will come down. Celestial choirs will be singing, and everyone will know we should do the right thing and the world will be perfect.'"
The Clinton campaign refused to believe in the authenticity of the "change" movement. For them, it was another manufactured story, hyped up by the "anti-Clinton" media. And while they failed to recognize that the wide-spread support for the skinny kid with a funny a name was indeed organic, and while they downplayed the idealism of Obama supporters, hope proved to be very contagious. And soon, it was apparent that the phenomenon reported by the press was indeed very, very real.
It was, in a word, a movement. And when that movement took to the polls, it beat in her in state after state, in caucuses and primaries alike, in small states and big states, and yes, in states that "matter." It was a conspiracy after all -- a conspiracy by millions of Americans to hope for and vote for something daring, and different, and desperately needed: a new politics for a new era in America history.
The millions of voters who carried Obama through to victory in the primary were underestimated by the Clinton campaign, and they'll likely be underestimated again in the general. The GOP is already deploying full force every lie and smear it can to attack Obama. The bruising fights of the primary will be child's play compared to the all-out ideological war we will face in the fall. Republicans believe that they can win the presidency by exposing the "real" Obama -- whatever lie that turns out to be. But this strategy is premised in the erroneous belief (that was shared in part by Clinton) that the man makes the movement. For those of us in the trenches, for the millions of us who believe "hope" is isn't a slogan but a way forward, this election is about so much more than one man.
It's about 160,000 men and women in Iraq, or about the 47 million Americans without healthcare. It's about one child going to bed hungry or one mother having to work two jobs to make ends meet. It is, in sum, about the things we carry, on our shoulders, in our hearts and in our conscience. And it is that movement which may well carry Barack Obama into the White House.